Reinterpreting Economic Growth in the Context of Global Uncertainty and Structural Transformation

Authors

  • Loso Judijanto IPOSS Jakarta Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.62872/v0rsw832

Keywords:

Economic Growth, Global Uncertainty, Structural Transformation, Sustainable Development, Economic Resilience, Inclusive Growth

Abstract

This study reinterprets economic growth in the context of global uncertainty and structural transformation, emphasizing a shift from traditional GDP-oriented approaches toward multidimensional and resilience-based frameworks. Increasing global shocks such as financial crises, pandemics, and geopolitical instability have exposed the limitations of conventional growth models and necessitated a new analytical perspective. This research employs a qualitative approach using a systematic literature review of peer-reviewed journal articles and policy reports. Data are analyzed through qualitative content analysis and a thematic interpretative framework to identify key dimensions of contemporary growth. The findings reveal that economic growth is shaped by global uncertainty, structural transformation, inclusiveness, ecological sustainability, digital innovation, institutional capacity, and advanced measurement frameworks beyond GDP. The discussion highlights a paradigm shift from “more growth” to “better, resilient, and sustainable growth,” where structural policies, diversification, and innovation play central roles. The study concludes that economic growth must be understood as an adaptive, inclusive, and sustainability-oriented process that integrates economic, social, and environmental dimensions. Such an approach provides a more comprehensive basis for policy formulation in an increasingly complex global economy.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abdelkawy, N. (2024). Diversification and the resource curse: An econometric analysis of GCC countries. Economies. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies12110287

Asafo-Adjei, E., Boateng, E., Isshaq, Z., Idun, A., Owusu, P., & Adam, A. (2021). Financial sector and economic growth amid external uncertainty shocks: Insights into emerging economies. PLoS ONE, 16. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0259303

Asafo-Adjei, E., Qabhobho, T., & Adam, A. (2023). Conditional effects of local and global risk factors on the co-movements between economic growth and inflation: Insights into G8 economies. Heliyon, 9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19570

Buthelezi, E. (2024). Transformative pathways: Understanding economic growth in Africa using the African Transformation Index. Cogent Economics & Finance, 12. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2024.2426527

Calabrese, L., Jenkins, R., & Lombardozzi, L. (2024). The Belt and Road Initiative and dynamics of structural transformation. The European Journal of Development Research, 36, 515–547. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41287-024-00644-x

Chukwuemeka, O. (2024). A theoretical and empirical literature on economic growth. Advanced Research in Economics and Business Strategy Journal. https://doi.org/10.52919/arebus.v5i02.60

Du, X., Zhang, H., & Han, Y. (2022). How does new infrastructure investment affect economic growth quality? Empirical evidence from China. Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14063511

Ferrara, L., Karadimitropoulou, A., & Triantafyllou, A. (2022). Commodity price uncertainty comovement: Does it matter for global economic growth? SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4014047

Fuchs, M. (2023). A post-Cartesian economic and Buddhist view on tourism. Annals of Tourism Research. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2023.103688

Glazyev, S. (2022). Global transformations from the perspective of technological and economic world order change. AlterEconomics. https://doi.org/10.31063/altereconomics/2022.19-1.6

Gollin, D., & Kaboski, J. (2023). New views of structural transformation: Insights from recent literature. Oxford Development Studies, 51, 339–361. https://doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2023.2280748

Gomes, O. (2024). Economic growth in the age of ubiquitous threats: How global risks are reshaping growth theory. Economics, 18. https://doi.org/10.1515/econ-2022-0059

Hasselbalch, J., Kranke, M., & Chertkovskaya, E. (2023). Organizing for transformation: Post-growth in international political economy. Review of International Political Economy, 30, 1621–1638. https://doi.org/10.1080/09692290.2023.2208871

Hofferberth, E. (2025). Post-growth economics as a guide for systemic change: Theoretical and methodological foundations. Ecological Economics. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108521

Ignat, G., Șargu, L., & Prigoreanu, I. (2025). Modern paradigms in agricultural development: Innovation, sustainability and digital transformation. Modern Paradigms in the Development of the National and World Economy. https://doi.org/10.59295/mpdnwe2024.03

Kenter, J., Martino, S., Buckton, S., Waddock, S., Agarwal, B., Anger-Kraavi, A., Costanza, R., Hejnowicz, A., Jones, P., Lafayette, J., Kabubo-Mariara, J., Mukherjee, N., Pickett, K., Riedy, C., & Waddell, S. (2025). Ten principles for transforming economics in a time of global crises. Nature Sustainability, 8, 837–847. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-025-01562-4

Kogdenko, V. (2025). Development of economic analysis: Predictive analytics, ESG analytics, analysis of transformation processes at the meso- and micro-levels. Accounting. Analysis. Auditing. https://doi.org/10.26794/2408-9303-2025-12-2-14-28

Kong, L., Sofuoğlu, E., Ishola, B., Abbas, S., Guo, Q., & Khudoykulov, K. (2024). Sustainable development through structural transformation: A pathway to economic, social, and environmental progress. Economic Change and Restructuring, 57. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-024-09583-3

Lorato, T., Beyene, T., & Tadesse, T. (2025). Unintended structural transformation and growth in Ethiopia: An autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model approach. Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, 14. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13731-025-00498-5

Manioudis, M., & Meramveliotakis, G. (2022). Broad strokes towards a grand theory in the analysis of sustainable development: A return to the classical political economy. New Political Economy, 27, 866–878. https://doi.org/10.1080/13563467.2022.2038114

Margaryan, A. (2023). On the modern methodological issues of transition to the paradigm of inclusive economic growth. Alternative. https://doi.org/10.55528/18292828-2023.2-102

Moyer, J. (2023). Modeling transformational policy pathways on low growth and negative growth scenarios to assess impacts on socioeconomic development and carbon emissions. Scientific Reports, 13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42782-y

Pinto, H., Odoi, E., Nogueira, C., & Viana, L. (2025). Pathways to progress: Unveiling structural change in Africa through economic transformation, technology, talent, and tourism. Economies. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13010021

Priyaranjan, N. (2023). Macroeconomic effects of uncertainty: A Google trends-based analysis for India. Empirical Economics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-023-02392-z

Rozhkovskaya, E. (2023). Economic resilience and macroeconomic imbalances: The impact of structural policy. Economic Growth in the Conditions of Globalization, Vol. I. https://doi.org/10.36004/nier.cecg.i.2023.17.4

Shobande, O., Ogbeifun, L., & Tiwari, A. (2025). Do structural transformation and energy transition cause growth? Review of Development Economics. https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.13245

Stockhammer, E. (2021). Post-Keynesian macroeconomic foundations for comparative political economy. Politics & Society, 50, 156–187. https://doi.org/10.1177/00323292211006562

Tasneem, F., & Khan, M. (2023). Growth and structural transformation – Options for Pakistan. Research in Globalization. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resglo.2023.100190

Turysbekova, R., Kydyrbayeva, E., & Kenjassarova, A. (2025). Economic cycles in conditions of global uncertainty: Transformation of theoretical approaches and practical analysis tools. Statistika, Učet i Audit. https://doi.org/10.51579/1563-2415.2025.-1.12

Ullah, M., Sohail, H., Haddad, H., Al-Ramahi, N., & Khan, M. (2022). Global structural shocks and FDI dynamic impact on productive capacities: An application of CS-ARDL estimation. Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15010283

Zhang, L., Xu, M., Chen, H., Li, Y., & Chen, S. (2022). Globalization, green economy and environmental challenges: State of the art review for practical implications. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 10. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.870271

Zhou, X., Cai, Z., Tan, K., Zhang, L., Du, J., & Song, M. (2021). Technological innovation and structural change for economic development in China as an emerging market. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 167, 120671. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120671

Downloads

Published

2026-03-30

How to Cite

Reinterpreting Economic Growth in the Context of Global Uncertainty and Structural Transformation. (2026). Nomico, 3(2), 94-104. https://doi.org/10.62872/v0rsw832

Similar Articles

1-10 of 172

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.